Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.382482 0.417784 0.455422 0.498627 0.546964 0.599502 0.661094
2026-02-08 0.325326 0.374904 0.431363 0.500811 0.584469 0.682668 0.807649
2026-02-15 0.288508 0.344489 0.411117 0.497043 0.606047 0.741245 0.924033
2026-02-22 0.264417 0.324766 0.399181 0.498917 0.630978 0.802562 1.046923
2026-03-01 0.242301 0.304546 0.383564 0.492921 0.643053 0.846036 1.148524
2026-03-08 0.223488 0.286507 0.368537 0.485282 0.650745 0.882552 1.242500
2026-03-15 0.205010 0.267236 0.349974 0.470574 0.646275 0.900195 1.309126
2026-03-22 0.197138 0.261512 0.349046 0.479926 0.676333 0.969929 1.462150
2026-03-29 0.189540 0.255479 0.346999 0.487094 0.703220 1.036758 1.617872
2026-04-05 0.181572 0.248288 0.342625 0.490164 0.723642 1.094816 1.765412
2026-04-12 0.173942 0.241028 0.337532 0.491506 0.741065 1.149130 1.912536
2026-04-19 0.167369 0.234862 0.333554 0.494076 0.760342 1.207878 2.074537
2026-04-26 0.157881 0.223947 0.321920 0.483936 0.758144 1.230293 2.173050
2026-05-03 0.152130 0.218359 0.318108 0.486121 0.776947 1.291529 2.355534
2026-05-10 0.145520 0.211063 0.311140 0.482488 0.785130 1.333965 2.505658
2026-05-17 0.140644 0.206171 0.307632 0.484295 0.802902 1.395719 2.704728
2026-05-24 0.134530 0.199004 0.300036 0.478513 0.806257 1.429898 2.848586
2026-05-31 0.128538 0.191735 0.291867 0.471146 0.805963 1.456644 2.979343
2026-06-07 0.121619 0.182661 0.280262 0.456960 0.791609 1.453528 3.039949
2026-06-14 0.119571 0.181400 0.281593 0.465980 0.822545 1.546692 3.346144
2026-06-21 0.117240 0.179548 0.281792 0.472894 0.849837 1.635024 3.655902
2026-06-28 0.114341 0.176606 0.279951 0.475854 0.869355 1.708468 3.940294
2026-07-05 0.111323 0.173323 0.277335 0.477149 0.885493 1.776016 4.221151